Are pre-election surveys representative of actual election outcome?
November 18, 2008
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17 Responses to “Are pre-election surveys representative of actual election outcome?”
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November 18, 2008
17 Responses to “Are pre-election surveys representative of actual election outcome?”
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Not at all related. The only independent survey will be God. Since every party has a passion for a particular party, they’ll do everything possible to favor them on opinion polls. Lets wait for the final ballot to be counted and for it to declared.
I Think we should listen to their speeches very well n elect the one that will bring postivness to our country not ingnorancy n naiveness
IT IS SOMEHOW REPRESENTATIVE EXCEPT WHEN THE LOOSING TEAM PUTS IN MORE EFFORT IN ORDER TO TURN THEIR FAILURE TO VICTORY AS A RESULT OF THE PROMPTINGS OF THE SURVEY THAT IT RATHER LOOK THE OPPOSITE. BUT IN THE NUTSHELL, IT HAS SOME BEARING ON THE ACTUAL ELECTION, ALL THINGS BEING EQUAL.
I wish no one would even get the opportunity to vote on the voting day, unless all eligible voters will be able to vote, that is if possible. Those making the big fuss about the coming election are those who have successfully been able to employ marshals and big time body guards with half of their families abroad. The average men like we boarding “trotro” and walking in the hot sun day in and out are left to struggle for ourselves. Don’t worry, very soon we shall see who is who. No be so?
Certainly not in Ghana. A poll from the Danquah institute will surely put Nana Addo ahead and to pretend that their result is credible will give a fairly representative percentage to Prof Mills. The same way a poll from any NDC apendage will put Prof Mills ahead of Nana Addo.
We are yet to get the state where polls will be unbias and representative of the views on the ground.
I can’t imagin Nana Addo trailing Prof Mills in a poll conducted by Gabby the same way I can’t imagin Prof Mills trailing Nana Addo in a poll from NDC research department.
December 7th is just around and Ghanaians will vote based on their standard of living.
Never. The D day is the only day to confirm who is the winner
PRE ELECTION SURVEYS IN OUR PART OF THE WORLD MAY NOT BE VERY ACCURATE.
NONETHELESS ,IT GENERALLY GIVES YOU AN IDEA OF THE TREND WHICH SHOULD INFORM AN EDUCATED GUESS AS TO WHICH DIRECTION THE ELECTION WILL GO.
IN THE YEAR 2000 IT WAS PALPABLE AND CLEAR WITH ALL THE “ASEE HO” SLOGAN AND THUMBS DOWN SIGNAL THE NPP WAS ON THE WAY TO THE CASTLE.
IN THE YEAR 2008 THE SONGS OF THE NPP AND KANGAROO SIGNAL SEEM TO HAVE CAUGHT ON WELL.,ALTHOUGH IT DOES NOT CONCLUSIVELY PROVE THAT THE PARTY WILL WIN IT GIVES A\N INDICATION OF WHICH PARTY IS ON THE ASCENT WITH A GOOD CHANCE ODF WINNING THE ELECTIONS.
Yes, to an extent. The polls indicate that the difference between the NPP and the NDC is very close. For me it means the NPP stands a greater chance of loosing the elections.
As to the accuracy of the polls, i don’t think so. however, we can do an analysis from them and draw a cocclusion.
kojo, the system has changed so we have to change, copyright america.
Dr. Tony, don’t pair with Dr. Ken , you are Donpapa.
Don,t talk about kangaroo dance, we are sufering
Till we have credibly and independent Survey institutions in Ghana like Gallup Poll etc, our polls may be suspicious.
i think no since in most cases only few people are selected for the poll.I think the NDC will win the election
No, i don’t think so. Those who are selected are not representatives of the entire population of Ghana
How can the BNI conduct Polls. ThatI think was quite an irresposible exercise the BNI executed.
No. I think most Ghanaians are not that free to express themselves, most of them are immediatly scared when they see any paper or any official from anywhere with paper and pen. And so the answers that they might give are most likely not to be the true reflections of what they really believe in.
But I personally think NDC will win this election because of the failed promise of the NPP.
I think people are paid to bring out numbers they can think about and i know dec 7 will show the right polls.